alt Hacker News> This argument requires us to believe that AI will just asymptote and not get materially better.
It hasn't gotten materially better in the last three years. Why would it do so in the next three or five years?
> This argument requires us to believe that AI will just asymptote and not get materially better.
It hasn't gotten materially better in the last three years. Why would it do so in the next three or five years?
Deep learning and transformers have given step functions in AI's capabilities. It may not happen, but it's reasonable to expect another step-function development soon.