logoalt Hacker News

tndlyesterday at 1:30 AM1 replyview on HN

Really exciting to see NOAA finally make some progress on this front, but the AIGFS suite likely won't outperform ECMWF's AIFS suite any time soon. The underlying architecture between AIFS and GraphCast/AIGFS is pretty similar (both GNNs), so there won't likely be a model-level improvement. And most of ECMWF's edge lies in its superior 4DVar data assimilation process. AIGFS is still being initialized on NOAA's hybrid 4DEnVar assimilation process as far as I understand it, which is still not as good as straight up 4DVar unfortunately.


Replies

kkylinyesterday at 4:48 AM

Came here to say this -- looks like the data assimilation is still done the "old fashioned" way. I wonder how long that will last?

show 1 reply