A related* essay (2010) by a statistician on the goals of statistical modelling that I've been procrastinating on:

https://www.stat.berkeley.edu/~aldous/157/Papers/shmueli.pdf

To Explain Or To Predict?

Nice quote

We note that the practice in applied research of concluding that a model with a higher predictive validity is “truer,” is not a valid inference. This paper shows that a parsimonious but less true model can have a higher predictive validity than a truer but less parsimonious model.

Hagerty+Srinivasan (1991)

*like TFA it's a sorta review of Breiman