alt Hacker News> Most of us confidently claimed even back in 2023 that, based on LLM architecture and training algorithms, LLMs would never be able to perform well on novel coding or mathematics tasks.
I feel like there are three groups of people:
1. Those who think that LLMs are stupid slop-generating machines which couldn't ever possibly be of any use to anybody, because there's some problem that is simple for humans but hard for LLMs, which makes them unintelligent by definition.
2. Those who think we have already achieved AGI and don't need human programmers any more.
3. Those who believe LLMs will destroy the world in the next 5 years.
I feel like the composition of these three groups is pretty much constant since the release of Chat GPT, and like with most political fights, evidence doesn't convince people either way.
Those three positions are all extreme viewpoints. There are certainly people who hold them, and they tend to be loud and confident and have an outsize presence in HN and other places online.
But a lot of us have a more nuanced take! It's perfectly possible to believe simultaneously that 1) LLMs are more than stochastic parrots 2) LLMs are useful for software development 3) LLMs have all sorts of limitations and risks (you can produce unmaintainable slop with them, and many people will, there are massive security issues, I can go on and on...) 4) We're not getting AGI or world-destroying super-intelligence anytime soon, if ever 5) We're in a bubble and it's going to pop and cause a big mess 6) This tech is still going to be transformative long term, on a similar level to the web and smartphones.
Don't let the noise from the extreme people who formed their opinions back when ChatGPT came out drown out serious discussion! A lot of us try and walk a middle course with this and have been and still are open to changing our minds.