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sMarsIntruderyesterday at 9:27 PM1 replyview on HN

As others here below have noticed, there is no match between actual data and predictions made by the authors.

Which is definitely strange, and we should ask: why?


Replies

krappyesterday at 9:39 PM

Because people tend to predict the future they wish would happen, not what the data says would be most likely.

The same thing happens with every HN predictions thread.