You either see what codex and opus are capable of and extrapolate the trendline or you don’t; the author clearly saw and extrapolated.

Not that I disagree: I’m on record agreeing with the article months ago. Folks in labs probably seen it coming for years.

Yes we’ve seen major improvements in software development velocity - libraries, OSes, containers, portable bytecodes - but I’m afraid we’ve seen nothing yet. Claude Code and Codex are just glimpses into the future.