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latchupyesterday at 2:39 PM2 repliesview on HN

I don't think anyone seriously believes AI will disappear without a trace. At the very least, LLMs will remain as the state of the art in high-level language processing (editing, translation, chat interfaces, etc.)

The real problem is the massive over-promises of transforming every industry, replacing most human labor, and eventually reaching super-intelligence based on current models.

I hope we can agree that these are all wholly unattainable, even from a purely technological perspective. However, we are investing as if there were no tomorrow without these outcomes, building massive data-centers filled with "GPUs" that, contrary to investor copium, will quickly become obsolete and are increasingly useless for general-purpose datacenter applications (Blackwell Ultra has NO FP64 hardware, for crying out loud...).

We can agree that the bubble deflating, one way or another, is the best outcome long term. That said, the longer we fuel these delusions, the worse the fallout will be when it does. And what I fear is that one day, a bubble (perhaps this one, perhaps another) will grow so large that it wipes out globalized free-market trade as we know it.


Replies

zozbot234yesterday at 2:50 PM

> Blackwell Ultra has NO FP64 hardware, for crying out loud...

But can it run Crysis?

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jupedyesterday at 8:57 PM

Bubbles bursting aren't bad unless you were overinvested in the bubble. Consider that you'll be wiping your ass with DIMMs once this one bursts; I can always put more memory to good use.

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