alt Hacker NewsDirect air capture imo can’t escape the scaling problem - when the feedstock has CO2 at ~400 ppm the economics simply won’t work out despite various oil companies backing one off systems around the globe.
Capturing CO2 at the source (power plant, etc) would be simpler to reach economic viability but without incentives it’s dead on arrival. I believe the IRA infra bill had put a price ~$50/ton of CO2 captured.
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I agree, plus were would one store the CO2 ? To get back to "1980", I really doubt puling CO2 from the atmosphere will ever work.
Another concern, who will pay for maintenance ? See this for why you cannot let CO2 escape from underground storage:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lake_Nyos_disaster
If stored near a populated area, hundreds of thousands could be kill, including all animals and insects, in a matter of minutes if the "vault" has a catastrophic failure. I would rather live near a nuclear waste site than a CO2 Site.
But we still need to remove all the excess co2 that we released into the atmosphere since the start of the industrial revolution if we want to reduce the temperature back to what it was before we started disrupting the natural state of the plane.
We and previous generations took out a loan and the payment is coming due.
Because of the framing about degrees in celcius change people are thinking in small numbers, like "oh, it's just 1.5'C over normal. oops, we missed that, well maybe we'll get it at 2.0'C. They don't realize that if we want normal we ahve to reduce the temperaure and to do that we need to take that c02 blanket off that we've been tightly wrapping around our collective bodies for decades.
And that endeavor is nearly unfathomable. Think of all the energy used by humanity since the industrial revolution and the energy we're going to be producing in the time period that we attempt to sequester the previously poduced C02. All of that needs to be accounted for.
And then there's the surplus energy roiling around in the system now, and the collapse of food webs.
I don't see how we get our way out of this in the next 50 years.
Capturing CO2 at the source will always be worse than removing the source. At the same time, capturing CO2 from the air will stay necessary until we do it.