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summa_techtoday at 6:14 PM1 replyview on HN

To some degree, this is a consequence of the nature of the field you're working in:

* if the physics is so completely understood that you can confidently predict something will work from your sofa, and give an error-free recipe to build it, you indeed can invent from theory... but how deep can this invention be if the problems of the field are completely solved?

* if you are working in a field at the edge of human understanding, you cannot have the confidence in your ideas without having tested them experimentally; a theoretician makes at most a minor contribution to the actual inventions being realized, because he's producing - most likely somewhat wrong - hypotheses.

This latter kind of "theoretical" inventions are heavily subject to survivorship bias. Fifteen competent theoreticians make different predictions - all according to best, though incomplete, model of the world; a successful experiment validates exactly one of them, and we end up exalting the lucky winner as the "inventor".


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lo_zamoyskitoday at 8:27 PM

> how deep can this invention be if the problems of the field are completely solved?

You're confusing depth with originality.

A field may be very well understood, but also very deep.

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