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jacquesmyesterday at 8:31 PM1 replyview on HN

That or the Suwalki gap. They're both flashpoints.


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rwyinuseyesterday at 8:51 PM

Yep, if Russia wants to expand its conflict against Europe, Narva in Estonia is most likely place for it. Over 90% of its population is ethnic Russian, and it's located right next to the Russian border. It's the perfect place to send some armed "separatists" to see how NATO responds.

My bet is that it'll happen sometime between 2029-2035, after UK, France and Germany have had their general elections, where populist parties with more pro-Russian stances are likely to gain power.

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