> no way the former allies of the US are going to normalise relations with them before they fix this though

I think you genuinely hold this take and it's admirable. I'm not seeing any indication (a) our militarised allies are behaving particularly differently or (b) they're concerned about us bombing stuff in the Western Hemisphere. (Versus in their backyards, creating refugee crises.)

> fallout for this is going to be a lot larger than I think you suspect

Maybe. Hopefully. I doubt it. Russia, China, Israel, France and the UK are doing fine.