alt Hacker NewsPrediction: the regime will not fall. This will destabilize the country further, not so much the regime itself.
There will be a decrease in oil production, marginally boosting world prices. What's probably being taken out right now is the regime's ability to react in any meaningful way to the oil embargo.
It will also allow Maduro to throw his hands in the air and blame the US for all of VZLA's ills going forward. More poverty, more suffering, more migration.
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there's footage of a half dozen US Chinooks over Caracas with no resistance being put up at all. Possbly a General has acquiesced to a US led coup. This isnt just lobbing missiles.
It's a country not a ticker symbol. VE is proper but even VZ would be better.
None of this makes sense. Venezuela has faced crippling sanctions from the US since 2017 that have not allowed it to sell to any western nation. Only China, Russia, and Cuba are potential customers for it. I highly doubt this will have any immediate effect on oil prices. It is also crude oil which only a handful of countries are capable of processing (the US probably being the best equipped)
US corporations will be brought in to exploit oil the same way they did in Iraq where they actually had to amend the constitution to allow for foreign corporations in.
A military coup seems like a decent possibility here IMO.
The Venezuelan opposition leader was extracted and moved to Europe and I assume the US wants to install her. Maybe that is more likely, but a military takeover before the US can install whatever puppet government they're hoping for.
Are you saying the US will decide not to take out the senior leadership of the regime? Or are you saying that the regime will survive even if they do that?
Prediction: nobody is going to lift a finger to defend Maduro. Unless he already has escaped, his cronies will sell him out.
But afterwards, there's going to be a free-for-all struggle between ACTUAL cartels. That will be indistinguishable ftom a civil war.
US is an expert in trying to artificially build democracies.
when you predict something you state a time line.
I wonder who is financing your efforts with throwaway accounts? Iran? Russia? China? or is it from drug cartels?
Here's another prediction: the regime will fall, the invasion will prove breezy and popular among huge fraction of Venezuelans. Trump admin (which was hugely insecure about its actual strength) will be bolstered and do some really really stupid thing next.
show positions or go away; skin in the game
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Maduro is a coward and has no military power
People here saying it's "unjustified" should go and talk to a displaced Venezuelan.
Well they just captured Maduro and flew him out of the country, so yes the regime quite literally did just fall minutes after you created your throwaway account to post this.