> I'd be shocked if the developer wasn't actually less productive
I agree 10x is a very large number and it's almost certainly smaller—maybe 1.5x would be reasonable. But really? You would be shocked if it was above 1.0x? This kind of comment always strikes me as so infantilizing and rude, to suggest that all these developers are actually slower with AI, but apparently completely oblivious to it and only you know better.
I would never suggest that only I know better. Plenty of other people are observing the same thing, and there is also research backing it up.
Maybe shocked is the wrong term. Surprised, perhaps.