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jmyeetlast Thursday at 6:26 AM1 replyview on HN

So there are (at least) six important aspects to the housing crisis.

1. Politically, this issue is a winner and it's crazy that the Democratic Party has refused to bang the drum on this, basically because it potentially upsets corporate donors. They have instead ceded this poopulist political ground to the Republican Party. The Democratic Party does not want to win elections and this should never have been more obvious than the 2024 presidential election;

2. Hoarding housing is state-sanctioned violence. You need housing to live. Housing affordability is the number one factor in homelessness [1]. That then subjects people to violence and danger that we, as a society, are allowing to happen. There is no reason that the wealthiest country on Earth can't provide a roof over the head of every man, woman and child within our borders;

3. The private sector will never solve the housing crisis because solving the housing crisis involves devaluing, definancializing and decommodifying housing. Wealthy people and large corporations who own a lot of real estate won't on their devalue their holdings. Things like Ezra Klein's Abundance claptrap are simply putting a Democratic bow on Reagan era trickle down economics and deregulation. This requires state action. That means the state needs to build significant amounts of housing to provide to people to regulate the housing market. The poster child for this policy is Vienna, Austria;

4. Voters have fooled themselves into thinking that increasing house prices are good for them. They're not. They're bad in virtually every way. There are people who bought a house for $100k in 1990 where that house is now worth $2M. Are you $1.9M richer? No. Because if you sell it what happens? You have to buy another house. And if every other equivalent house costs $2M you still only own one housing unit's worth of wealth;

5. Increasing house prices are simply stealing from the next generation and suppressing wages. Why suppressing wages? Because if you're laden with debt, you'll be a complaint little worker bee. You need that paycheck to not be homeless. You are in effect a debt-slave, particularly combined with student and possibly medical debt; and

6. The next wave of antitrust action will involve the use of AI as a means for market collusion and manipulation. A great and relevant example is RealPage [2]. If all the landlords use the same software and that software is designed to algorithmically increase rents, then that's market collusion. Honestly, dynamic pricing in general needs to be banned.

[1]: https://www.pew.org/en/research-and-analysis/articles/2023/0...

[2]: https://www.justice.gov/archives/opa/pr/justice-department-s...


Replies

Nursielast Thursday at 6:58 AM

> There are people who bought a house for $100k in 1990 where that house is now worth $2M. Are you $1.9M richer? No.

This is often repeated but not 100% correct.

You are in fact richer, and you can leverage this $2m in equity to take on debt and buy more houses. This is what has been happening here in Australia, and it's a major factor in the continued rise in prices.

When you've done this, hung on a handful of years and all of your houses have gone up 20-50%, you can cash out for a very nice sum indeed. AFAICT this is now a pretty mainstream middle-class retirement plan in this country, and it's terrible because, as you point out -

> Increasing house prices are simply stealing from the next generation

The money is coming from people, usually younger people, who are funding the insane market with ever larger mortgages and staying in rental properties longer, both of which benefit the equity-holder.

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