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littlestymaarlast Thursday at 7:07 AM1 replyview on HN

See Bob Schiller's work (for which he received the econ Nobel prize in 2013).

The “weak version of EMH” has nothing to do with markets being “efficient”, it's a property of random markets. Assimilating the two just Fama's motte-and-bailey fallacy.


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erulast Thursday at 7:20 AM

When you say 'random' you probably mean that market prices are a Martingale? See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martingale_(probability_theory...

That's very, very related to being efficient.

> Assimilating the two just Fama's motte-and-bailey fallacy.

No, not at all.

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