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ViewTrick1002yesterday at 10:39 AM1 replyview on HN

Solar has only really been viable since ~2020.

Storage has only really been viable since mid 2024.

With timelines in the energy business being decades there's what currently exists and where we are headed are two completely different questions.

Looking at what gets built Q1 through Q3 in 2025 solar and wind met all electricity grid demand growth.

https://ember-energy.org/latest-updates/solar-and-wind-growt...

Storage is also scaling massively.

https://www.ess-news.com/2025/11/12/german-network-operators...

If we just keep doing like we are then within 10-15 years renewables will be dominating every single grid globally.


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realusernameyesterday at 1:25 PM

I had exact the same discussion here 5 and 10 years ago (it will be ready next year!), I'm willing to bet that storage isn't going to cut it in the next 10 years.

There's at least two of orders of magnitude missing with the current storage gen and unless a new tech revolution happens, that's not going to work.

The supposedly massive storage which is built in your link doesn't even cover half a day of winter load.

Anything below 200GWh is a proof of concept at best.

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