This is definitely wrong, most AI researchers DO NOT agree with LeCun.
Most ML researchers think AGI is imminent.
The ones being paid a million dollars a year by OpenAI to say stuff like that, maybe.
The guy who built chatgpt literally said we're 20 years away?
Not sure how to interpret that as almost imminent.
Do you have poll of ML researchers that shows this?
Well, can you point us to their research then? Please.
their employment and business opportunities depend on the hype, so they will continue to 'think' that (on xitter) despite the current SOTA of transformers-based models being <100% smarter than >3 year old GPT4, and no revolutionary new architecture in sight.
Where do you get your majority from?
I don't think there is any level of broad agreement right now. There are tons of random camps none of which I would consider to be broadly dominating.