Why. Do. We. Keep. Posting. Gary. Marcus.
He's been writing variants of this kind of thing for decades and he's always been wrong.
Any examples? I've never heard of him, but that seems like a big statement.
I'm not a particularly big Gary Marcus fan, but I'm even less of a fan of the term "always".
I browsed back looking for posts of his that most obviously made predictions, and "GPT-5… now arriving Gate 8, Gate 9, Gate 10" make a few very clear predictions and was absolutely correct [0] about them.
This was in June 2024, and Marcus claims two major predictions:
- "As of today, I am more confident than ever that GPT-5 won’t land this year."
- "Gary Marcus is still betting that GPT-5 will continue to hallucinate and make a bunch of wacky errors, whenever it finally drops."
It would be over a year from his posting that article that GPT-5 would finally land, and his overall prediction that the result would be lack-luster was also spot on.
Again, I don't particularly care one way or another about Gary Marcus, but flat out dismissing his writing doesn't really hold up.
0. https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/gpt-5-now-arriving-gate-8-...
Gary Marcus is not the only one that has been critical of Sam Altman: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l0K4XPu3Qhg
There's many other people but most of them are independent. It is glaringly obvious now most of the media outlets are afraid to ask the tough questions.