I am an AI-skeptic but I would agree this looks impressive from certain angles, especially if you're an early startup (maybe) or you are very high up the chain and just want to focus on cutting costs. On the other hand, if you are about to be unemployed, this is less impressive. Can it replace a human? I would say no its still long way to go, but a good salesman can convince executives that it does and thats all that matters.
I just think Jevins paradox [1]/Gustafson's Law [2] kind of applies here.
Maybe I shouldn't have used the word "replaced", as I don't really think it's actually going to "replace" people long term. I think it's likely to just lead to higher output as these get better and better .
> On the other hand, if you are about to be unemployed, this is less impressive
> salesman can convince executives that it does
I tend to think that reality will temper this trend as the results develop. Replacing 10 engineers with one engineer using Cursor will result in a vast velocity hit. Replacing 5 engineers with 5 "agents" assigned to autonomously implement features will result in a mess eventually. (With current technology -- I have no idea what even 2027 AI will do). At that point those unemployed engineers will find their phones ringing off the hook to come and clean up the mess.
Not that unlike what happens in many situations where they fire teams and offshore the whole thing to a team of average developers 180 degrees of longitude away who don't have any domain knowledge of the business or connections to the stakeholders. The pendulum swings back in the other direction.