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ACCount37today at 11:11 AM1 replyview on HN

Yeah. Obviously. Duh. That's why we keep doing it.

Opus 4.5 saved me about 10 hours of debugging stupid issues in an old build system recently - by slicing through the files like a grep ninja and eventually narrowing down onto a thing I surely would have missed myself.

If I were to pay for the tokens I used at API pricing, I'd pay about $3 for that feat. Now, come up with your best estimate: what's the hourly wage of a developer capable of debugging an old build system?

For the reference: by now, the lifetime compute use of frontier models is inference-dominated, at a rate of 1:10 or more. And API costs at all major providers represent selling the model with a good profit margin.


Replies

bodge5000today at 12:45 PM

So could the company hiring you to do that work fire you and just use Opus instead? If no, then you cannot compare an engineers salary to what Opus costs, because the engineer is needed anyway.

> And API costs at all major providers represent selling the model with a good profit margin.

Though we don't know for certain, this is likely false. At best, it's looking like break even, but if you look at Anthropic, they cap their API spend at just $5,000 a month, which sounds like a stop loss. If it were making a good profit, they'd have no reason to have a stop loss (and certainly not that low).

> Yeah. Obviously. Duh. That's why we keep doing it.

I don't think so. I think what is promised is what keeps spend on it so high. I'd imagine if all the major AI companies were to come out and say "this is it, we've gone as far as we can", investment would likely dry up

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