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theptipyesterday at 1:48 PM3 repliesview on HN

Counterpoint - I think it’s going to become much easier for hobbyists and motivated small companies to make bigger projects. I expect to see more OSS, more competition, and eventually better quality-per-price (probably even better absolute quality at the “$0 / sell your data” tier).

Sure, the megacorps may start rotting from the inside out, but we already see a retrenchment to smaller private communities, and if more of the benefits of the big platforms trickle down, why wouldn’t that continue?

Nicbou, do you see AI as increasing your personal output? If it lets enthusiastic individuals get more leverage on good causes then I still have hope.


Replies

samivyesterday at 1:54 PM

When it became cheaper to publish text did the quality go up?

When it became cheaper to make games did the quality go up?

When it became cheaper to mass produce X (sneakers, tshirts, anything really) did the quality go up?

It's a world that is made of an abundance of trash. The volume of low quality production saturates the market and drowns out whatever high quality things still remain. In such a world you're just better of reallocating your resources from the production quality towards the the shouting match of marketing and try to win by finding ways to be more visible than the others. (SEO hacking etc shenanigans)

When you drive down the cost of doing something to zero you you also effectively destroy the economy based around that thing. Like online print, basically nobody can make a living with focusing on publishing news or articles but alternative revenue streams (ads) are needed. Same for games too.

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Nextgridyesterday at 2:23 PM

When was the last time that speed of development was the limiting factor? 15-20 years ago?

Nowadays the problem is that both technical and legal means are used to prevent adversarial interoperability. It doesn't matter if you (or AI) can write software faster if said software is unable to interface with the thing everyone else uses.

nicbouyesterday at 2:44 PM

I suggest that you read my comment again. It will answer your question.