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jvanderbotyesterday at 6:31 PM4 repliesview on HN

That's the actual point. Everyone else is there to make money gambling, but the whole premise is to incentivize people with secret information to share it anonymously with the public, and take a reward for doing it.

All without traceability or secret drops or whatever.

POSIWID


Replies

ncr100yesterday at 6:39 PM

(The Purpose Of a System Is What It Does)

robocatyesterday at 8:14 PM

> POSIWID

Everyone can make up a silly purpose.

Against POSIWID: https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/come-on-obviously-the-purpo...

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kibwenyesterday at 8:17 PM

The market can only resolve based on public information, so it could only incentivize revealing information that is already destined to be imminently revealed. Furthermore, it doesn't incentivize sharing that information with enough lead time to actually take action based on that information; the opposite is actually true, insiders are incentivized to wait until just before the event to make their trade, meaning that the public gets no actionable information in practice. And that's assuming that you can distinguish an insider from someone lying for the sake of market manipulation.

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cyberaxyesterday at 7:26 PM

Without additional signals, you can just as well use it to manipulate markets.

E.g. there's a 1-to-1000 bet for $1m today on Trump falling down the staircase. So markets read this and go crazy, buying up the stock. The next day, nothing happens and the markets go down. But somebody could have made billions betting on that.