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throw0101dyesterday at 9:13 PM1 replyview on HN

From the video:

> [Chenoweth and Stephan] have gone out of their way to correct people who treat it like a cheat code, and to caution against overreading any success of non-violent oppostion.

The rebuttal is against those arguing that 3.5% is a "magic number", that treat(ed) it like an 'absolute', when we're actually dealing with probabilities and likelihoods and odds.

The formulators of the "3.5% rule" do not treat it as an absolute, and neither do I: my GP post talks about "odds" and likelihoods.


Replies

shimmanyesterday at 9:52 PM

Nice, so you didn't watch the video completely. Hopefully others don't make your mistake, both that and believing that garbage.

Resistance has always been violence/sabotage towards oppressors, if nonviolence actions were effective you'd see more armed forces bashing skulls at no kings protests.

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