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bnchrchtoday at 1:20 AM7 repliesview on HN

While the headline is interesting.

I think the table at the end of the article is more so.

- Worldwide sales -10% YoY

- China sales -26% YoY

And when you cross compare Porsche saying they sold more EV powertrains than their gas equivalents against China's new found foothold as the market leader in consumer electric cars (BYD, NIO, Xiaomi, etc...)

Then I think you see an early indication not just of electric car dominance, but of the (very potential) rise of China as the premier automotive super power.


Replies

melenaboijatoday at 3:55 AM

> Then I think you see an early indication not just of electric car dominance, but of the (very potential) rise of China as the premier automotive super power.

It’s done man. Americans are stuck in ICE engines because they’ve been told they’re “car enthusiasts” while the Chinese have been developing EV technology for years. Meanwhile, European makers are stuck not knowing what to do, make Americans happy or compete with the Chinese. The result: nothing has been done properly. And let’s be real, “car enthusiasts” are going to disappear in one or two generations. Practicality beats enthusiasm for 95% of car use.

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protocolturetoday at 4:30 AM

>Then I think you see an early indication not just of electric car dominance, but of the (very potential) rise of China as the premier automotive super power.

I thought we were there already tbh. Chinese cars have gone from laughably bad to quality parity in less than a decade. Like even 2 years ago, I was still hearing "the paint the paint" as the last remaining issue. But I dont hear that anymore.

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andysttoday at 1:36 AM

in the australian market theres often comparison between how BYD/(chinese brands) may unseat Tesla (as the scale EV first mover), but I haven't seen what I think is the prize, which is BYD want to take on Toyota as the de facto king of global car making. They want the whole car market, not just EV and are already setup to take that on.

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csomartoday at 4:38 AM

China's 2025 numbers are out: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_motor_veh...

They're up roughly 10% over last year and will likely hit 35% of global production. The big shift over the last decade (beyond their growing market share) is that their overall quality has caught up to (and in many cases surpassed) the traditional incumbents.

Barring a global war, I think they're unstoppable at this point.

itsthecouriertoday at 2:49 AM

great analysis

mritstoday at 1:23 AM

I don’t think anyone is going to keep an advantage in car manufacturing. The way we build them might totally change in a short duration with the rapid advancement in robotics

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appplicationtoday at 1:43 AM

China may become the superpower on volume but I would be surprised if the upper quartile (by price) of western buyers were interested in Chinese vehicles. Too much quality issues across the board on Chinese made products, unless you have a trusted non-Chinese company with stringent quality control (e.g. Apple model).

I’m sure they can handily win the lower end of the market though. And yes I’m aware many western manufacturers are shit tier quality.

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