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throwaway888666yesterday at 5:21 PM3 repliesview on HN

I am pretty sure the US has not 4.2 percent growth

Source?

I live in the US and I have lived in countries with 4-5 gdp growth


Replies

missedthecueyesterday at 5:51 PM

The latest US GDP print is the Q3 2025 Initial Estimate, showing real GDP grew at a 4.3% annual rate

https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/us-economy-grew-thi...

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mschuster91yesterday at 5:50 PM

They are likely referring to Q3/25 numbers [1].

The problem is the AI bubble, without it it is speculated that the US economy might actually be in a recession [2] - effectively, that web of investments, deals, ownerships, purchase contracts and god knows what is nothing more than wash trading that will come crashing down hard.

That is why for the 99%, the economy doesn't "feel" like 4.3% of growth. If you're not in AI directly or at least adjacent (e.g. datacenter or utility construction), you don't feel any of that money.

[1] https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp-growth

[2] https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/14/ai-infrastructure-boom-masks...

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