Possibly? I don't know -- hence the question!

GP was presenting fundamental analysis as an alternative to the article's method for answering the question, but then never answered the question.

This is a confusion I have around fundamental analysis. Some people appear to do it very well (Buffett?) but most of its proponents only use it to ramble about possibilities without making any forecasts speciic enough to be verifiable.

I'm curious about that gap.