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baxtrtoday at 7:42 AM5 repliesview on HN

Not sure tbh.

China could have been like Japan per capita. Protectionism puts a big cap on economic growth potential.


Replies

somenameformetoday at 12:14 PM

This is what Japan's GDP/capita [1] looks like. I assume you're around my age because we grew up in a time when Japan was set to become the next economic super-power, and it looked like it might even surpass the US. But sometime around 1995, their economy peaked and they've been in pretty bad shape since then. Their current GDP/capita is about 25% lower (and falling) than it was in 1995. They work as a great argument against people who insist to just always buy the dip. What goes down does not always come back up.

By contrast this [2] is China's GDP/capita which is something really close to a vertical line. But for all the talk about economic systems, I think it's just because of good leadership and a motivated population. There's plenty of capitalist countries that aren't going anywhere, and there's endless examples of hybrid/social economic systems that have also gone nowhere. So I think there have to be explanations outside of the economic system itself.

[1] - https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD?location...

[2] - https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD?location...

viking123today at 10:43 AM

If they had allowed the western tech companies, these tech companies could easily control the information atmosphere and incite riots for instance.

gsf_emergency_6today at 8:02 AM

I might have missed something here

"current dollar valuations are more appropriate. Nominal GDP measured in these units are plotted in Figure 2." https://econbrowser.com/archives/2009/06/how_important_i_2#:...

(What do those bumps correspond to?)

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bjournetoday at 9:58 AM

Take a look at a plot of China's gdp per year since 1980. A curve can only get so exponential.

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