The consensus among Western defense and foreign policy types is that China will most likely invade Taiwan in 2027, relative to any other single year, conditional on them doing it at all.

Yep, a time when anyone can say to an ally "Greenland must be mine" and more or less get away with it...

Because that would be way more destabilizing globally before the precedent is set and China doesn't want instability.

Which is also, coincidentally why they seem like a better trade partner to me as European at this point.