I wish the people who wrote this let us know what king of codebases they are working on. They seem mostly useless in a sufficiently large codebase especially when they are messy and interactions aren't always obvious. I don't know how much better Claude is than ChatGPT, but I can't get ChatGPT to do much useful with an existing large codebase.
Almost always, notes like these are going to be about greenfield projects.
Trying to incorporate it in existing codebases (esp when the end user is a support interaction or more away) is still folly, except for closely reviewed and/or non-business-logic modifications.
That said, it is quite impressive to set up a simple architecture, or just list the filenames, and tell some agents to go crazy to implement what you want the application to do. But once it crosses a certain complexity, I find you need to prompt closer and closer to the weeds to see real results. I imagine a non-technical prompter cannot proceed past a certain prototype fidelity threshold, let alone make meaningful contributions to a mature codebase via LLM without a human engineer to guide and review.
I've been trying Claude on my large code base today. When I give it the requirements I'd give an engineer and so "do it" it just writes garbage that doesn't make sense and doesn't seem to even meet the requirements (if it does I can't follow how - though I'll admit to giving up before I understood what it did, and I didn't try it on a real system). When I forced it to step back and do tiny steps - in TDD write one test of the full feature - it did much better - but then I spent the next 5 hours adjusting the code it wrote to meet our coding standards. At least I understand the code, but I'm not sure it is any faster (but it is a lot easier to see things wrong than come up with green field code).
Which is to say you have to learn to use the tools. I've only just started, and cannot claim to be an expert. I'll keep using them - in part because everyone is demanding I do - but to use them you clearly need to know how to do it yourself.
It's important to understand that he's talking about a specific set of models that were release around november/december, and that we've hit a kind of inflection point in model capabilities. Specifically Anthropic's Opus 4.5 model.
I never paid any attention to different models, because they all felt roughly equal to me. But Opus 4.5 is really and truly different. It's not a qualitative difference, it's more like it just finally hit that quantitative edge that allows me to lean much more heavily on it for routine work.
I highly suggest trying it out, alongside a well-built coding agent like the one offered by Claude Code, Cursor, or OpenCode. I'm using it on a fairly complex monorepo and my impressions are much the same as Karpathy's.
I don't know how big sufficiently large codebase is, but we have a 1mil loc Java application, that is ~10years old, and runs POS systems, and Claude Code has no issues with it. We have done full analyses with output details each module, and also used it to pinpoint specific issues when described. Vibe coding is not used here, just analysis.
Claude and Codex are CLI tools you use to give the LLM context about the project on your local machine or dev environment. The fact that you're using the name "ChatGPT" instead of Codex leads me to believe you're talking about using the web-based ChatGPT interface to work on a large codebase, which is completely beside the point of the entire discussion. That's not the tool anyone is talking about here.
If you have a ChatGPT account, there's nothing stopping you from installing codex cli and using your chatgpt account with it. I haven't coded with ChatGPT for weeks. Maybe a month ago I got utility out of coding with codex and then having ChatGPT look at my open IDE page to give comments, but since 5.2 came out, it's been 100% codex.
I'm afraid that we're entering a time when the performance difference between the really cutting edge and even the three-month-old tools is vast
If you're using plain vanilla chatgpt, you're woefully, woefully out of touch. Heck, even plain claude code is now outdated
Try Claude code. It’s different.
After you tried it, come back.
chatGPT is not made to write code. Get out of stone age :)
This is an antidotal example, but I released this last week after 3 months of work on it as a "nights and weekdends" project: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/skyscraper-for-bluesky/id67541...
I've been working in the mobile space since 2009, though primarily as a designer and then product manager. I work in kinda a hybrid engineering/PM job now, and have never been a particularly strong programmer. I definitely wouldn't have thought I could make something with that polish, let alone in 3 months.
That code base is ~98% Claude code.