alt Hacker News> But anyway, it already costs half compared to last year
You could not have bought Claude Opus 4.5 at any price one year ago I'm quite certain. The things that were available cost half of what they did then, and there are new things available. These are both true.
I'm agreeing with you, to be clear.
There are two pieces I expect to continue: inference for existing models will continue to get cheaper. Models will continue to get better.
Three things, actually.
The "hitting a wall" / "plateau" people will continue to be loud and wrong. Just as they have been since 2018[0].
[0]: https://blog.irvingwb.com/blog/2018/09/a-critical-appraisal-...
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> The "hitting a wall" / "plateau" people will continue to be loud and wrong. Just as they have been since 2018[0].
Everybody who bet against Moore's Law was wrong ... until they weren't.
And AI is the reaction to Moore's Law having broken. Nobody gave one iota of damn about trying to make programming easier until the chips couldn't double in speed anymore.
interesting post. i wonder if these people go back and introspect on how incorrect they have been? do they feel the need to address it?