alt Hacker NewsHindsight's how we all learn. Doing it over again, I'm sure those guys would have done things differently. Any team would be crazy today to not be more prudent in how they operate.
Replies
jrflowers • yesterday at 11:23 PM
Exactly. If I were in that position I would have simply learned from what happens in the future. In the rare instance that there was a negative outcome, I would just inform my previous self so that I could retroactively ensure that that outcome had not occurred.
It is through this simple system that I can confidently say that the content of this article that I am reading today in 2026 had/will have an impact on what I would have done in 2019
Sure, the part I thought was "easy to say in hindsight" was:
> I would not have taken this gig unless you had verbal confirmation that the Sheriff knows about it and has signed off.
We don't know that! We don't know what we would have done in that scenario, especially in the context of a thread about the very outcome one's supposed foresight would have prevented.
From https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hindsight_bias#Attempts_to_red... :
> Research suggests that people still exhibit the hindsight bias even when they are aware of it or possess the intention of eradicating it. [...] The only observable way to decrease hindsight bias in testing is to have the participant think about how alternative hypotheses could be correct.
So here's an alternative hypothesis:
"Hey, do you reckon we should clear this with the county first? The sheriff might come and arrest us on the basis that nobody told him we were going to break into the courthouse"
"Nah, don't worry about it, I've done this sort of thing hundreds of times. And besides, the state has superiority over the county anyway, so even if we get caught which let's face it we won't because we're leet hackers and very incognito... the sheriff won't have any power to do anything to us as soon as we tell him it's authorised by the state"
"SGTM"