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mschuster91today at 11:31 AM1 replyview on HN

China wants but China won't. They lack the military capability of force projection that is the basis of the US dollar dominance, their currency cannot be used as a reserve/trading currency due to capital transfer controls (that have no sign of ever going away because otherwise everyone who has money in China will move it immediately out of the reach of the CCP), foreign investors have gotten very skeptical over the years regarding IP theft on one side and supply chain law issues (e.g. underage labor, 996 and modern slavery, environmental concerns) on the other, and on top of that China is getting rocked hard by the inevitable consequences of the one-child policy that is driving up labor costs, further reducing the attractivity for foreign investors.


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bborudtoday at 11:34 AM

China doesn’t need to project force. Economics might is sufficient.

Yes, they want Taiwan, but that’s a silly national pride thing. It would not really benefit them to take it by force.

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