Last 2 reported quarters have 3.8% and 4.4% gdp growth.

Next report is end of february. So it's minimum 4 months away at earliest.

Stock markets are at 10 year peaks.

Unemployment is a little bit high at 4.5%.

Inflation is a little bit high at 2.7%

US government debt is very high at 125%

PMIs are strong across the board.

Also in context, trillions in declared new investments in the usa. Probably trillions more in undeclared new investment trying to avoid tariffs.

No competitor possible on reserve currency status, Euro in about 2013 was looking like hot stuff but they regulated themselves out of it.

So I consider, the crash probability of the US economy is certainly not going to be happening.