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thesmtsolver2today at 3:43 AM3 repliesview on HN

No, not just weeding out due to Covid.

If that was the case, you won't see death rates decrease across multiple groups and not just the weakest groups.

> Death rates declined across all racial and ethnic groups, and in both men and women.

https://www.medpagetoday.com/publichealthpolicy/publichealth...

> It's the result of not only the dissipation of the COVID-19 pandemicopens in a new tab or window, but also waning death rates from all the nation's top killers, including heart disease, cancer, and drug overdoses.


Replies

pinkmuffineretoday at 4:12 AM

I think it would depend on how the “weakest groups” are decided. If the weakest 10% of 2021 all died, then the weakest 10% of 2022 will be people who were stronger than 2021’s weakest 10%. All the groups would propagate up to be stronger than in previous years. Now i don’t know how these groups are drawn, percentiles is just what makes intuitive sense to me.

The linked quotes don’t seem to support your argument, unless I misunderstand? If the weakest people die, then the remaining people are expected to be more resilient to heart disease and cancer.

I think decreases in drug overdose and suicide are probably the most isolated from this effect, so I have higher confidence that those decreases are “real”. But I can imagine ways that even they might interact.

klooneytoday at 3:49 AM

GLP1 theory of everything