Mode like open local models are becoming "good enough".

I got stuff done with Sonnet 3.7 just fine, it did need a bunch of babysitting, but still it was a net positive to productivity. Now local models are at that level, closing up on the current SOTA.

When "anyone" can run an Opus 4.5 level model at home, we're going to be getting diminishing returns from closed online-only models.