Every S-curve looks like an exponential until you hit the bend.
Cool I guess. Kind of a meaningless statement yeah? Let's hit the bend, then we'll talk. Until then repeating, 'It's an S Curve guys and what's more, we're near the bend! trust me" ad infinitum is pointless. It's not some wise revelation lol.
This quote would be more impactful if people haven't been repeating it since gpt-4 time.
We've been hearing this for 3 years now. And especially 25 was full of "they've hit a wall, no more data, running out of data, plateau this, saturated that". And yet, here we are. Models keep on getting better, at more broad tasks, and more useful by the month.