> But with the collapse of US/EU relations and the subsequent cozying up to China, it's not impossible that the Chinese demand access to the EU markets in exchange for assistance

The EU doesn't need to bend to China's will.

That's why the EU signed an FTA with India last week. During the Navratri sales season (9 days long and comparable to CNY) Mercedes was selling a car every 6 minutes [0] with an average sales price of $111k before the FTA was signed as well as rolling out 12 new models of which 2 are luxury EVs. It's also why BMW is rolling out 10 new cars in India - 3 of which are luxury EVs [1].

Most other large markets are either closed to European exports or face downward Chinese pricing pressure. By giving European luxury exporters the ability to sell 250K European manufactured cars tariff free a year it helps reduce pressure by giving European exporters a China-free market, with MG Motors India being Indianized [11].

China has also insisted that it will continue to back Russia in Ukraine no matter what [2][3] and Russia has returned the favor [4][5] to China. As such, China-EU relations are essentially irreparable and MoFA aligned think tanks have pointed this out as well [6]. And this is also why the EU is only further expanding trade barriers for Chinese exports [7][8][9][10].

[0] - https://www.reuters.com/world/india/mercedes-indias-revenue-...

[1] - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-08/bmw-to-ro...

[2] - https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3316875/ch...

[3] - https://www.reuters.com/world/china/china-russia-discuss-ukr...

[4] - https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/russian-b...

[5] - https://www.reuters.com/world/china/russias-shoigu-chinas-wa...

[6] - https://fddi.fudan.edu.cn/_t2515/57/f8/c21257a743416/page.ht...

[7] - https://www.ft.com/content/5d9f1a02-a60b-418f-8c9b-b711624cd...

[8] - https://www.ft.com/content/eb677cb3-f86c-42de-b819-277bcb042...

[9] - https://www.ft.com/content/101ced1f-e03b-4353-8b1a-401d4feca...

[10] - https://www.ft.com/content/a7190e3e-8656-401e-8645-f342d1a63...

[11] - https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinas-saic-cut-stake-in...