logoalt Hacker News

kingstnaptoday at 8:49 AM2 repliesview on HN

You can have confounding effects. Specifically note Cochrane’s Aphorism.

"The correlation between any variable and smoking is likely to be higher than the correlation between that variable and the disease."

If you aren't controlling for substance uses (which anyone who has walked by a construction site would know.) You are going to misread an effect. Smoking in particular is actually just that bad for you.


Replies

rhplustoday at 1:49 PM

Nutrition too. Not to paint everyone in the construction industry with the same brush, but there’s often a lot of cheap, high calorie, fast food and sugary drinks on site and in work trucks. This is manageable for younger workers, but by a certain age, the job responsibilities become less physically demanding, the metabolism slows down, and the eating habits remain.

sjducbtoday at 9:51 AM

The confounding variable is probably wealth. Being rich is very important for longevity. The effect size for wealth is likely bigger than the effect size for strength training. So construction workers age badly because they are poor, despite all the strength training.

show 2 replies