alt Hacker NewsWhy do you think that LLMs would do any better than monkeys throwing darts?
I am raining on your parade but this is another in a long succession of ways to loose money.
The publicly available information in markets is priced very efficiently, us computer types do not like that and we like to think that our pattern analysis machines can do better than a room full of traders. They cannot.
The money to be made in markets is from private information and that is a crime (insider trading), is widespread, and any system like this is fighting it and will loose.
Replies
sjkoelle • yesterday at 10:11 PM
efficiency is not a given. also this is an eval set - they acknowledge the challenge themselves.
imho this is v cool
Our initial goal with this project actually wasn't trying to get an edge in terms of better evaluating information, but rather, we wanted to see if an LLM can perform similarly to a human analyst at a lower latency. The latency for the market to react to catalysts is actually surprisingly high in biotech (at least in some cases) compared to other domains so there may be some edge there.
Appreciate the comment though! I generally agree with your sentiment!