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nemo1618today at 6:10 PM3 repliesview on HN

Centaurs are a transient phenomenon. In chess, the era of centaur supremacy lasted only about a decade before computers alone eclipsed human+computer. The same will be true in every other discipline.

You can surf the wave, but sooner or later, the wave will come crashing down.


Replies

eranationtoday at 6:46 PM

I'm highly worried that you are right. But what gives me hope is that people still play chess, I'd argue even more than ever. People still buy paper books and vinyl records. People still appreciated handwritten greeting cards over printed ones, pay extra to listen to live music where the recorded one is free and will likely sound much better. People are willing to pay an order of magnitude more for a sit in a theater for a live play, or pay premium for handmade products over their almost impossible to distinguish knock offs.

Centigonaltoday at 6:45 PM

How transient depends on the problem space. In chess, centaurs were transient. In architecture or CAD, they have been the norm for decades.

lanyard-textiletoday at 7:34 PM

Agreed. But I don't think the time scale will be similar.

Chess is relatively simple in comparison, as complex as it is.

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