I don't think 5 years is necessary. I think after two years of this agentic orchestration if you rarely touch code yourself skill will degrade to the point they won't be able to write anything non-trivial without assistance.

What infrastructure has gone through the last 15 years would like a word.

Half the people I work with can't do imperative jQuery interfaces. So what I guess. I can't code assembly.

In 5 years coding skills will matter as much as being able to operate an elevator. (sadly)