alt Hacker News> One side is demanding we keep giving hundreds of billions to them and at the same time promising the other side's unemployment.
That's a valid take. The problem is that there are, at this time, so many valid takes that it's hard to determine which are more valid/accurate than the other.
FWIW, I think this is more insightful than most of the takes I've seen, which basically amount to "side-1: we're moving to a higher level of abstraction" and "side-2: it's not higher abstraction, just less deterministic codegen".
I'm on the "higher level of abstraction" side, but that seems to be very much at odds with however Anthropic is defining it. Abstraction is supposed to give you better high-level clarity at the expense of low-level detail. These $20,000 burning, Gas Town-style orchestration matrices do anything but simplify high level concerns. In fact, they seem committed building extremely complex, low-level harnesses of testing and validation and looping cycles around agents upon agents to avoid actually trying to deal with whatever specific problem they are trying to solve.
How do you solve a problem you refuse to define explicitly? We end up with these Goodhart's Law solutions: they hit all of the required goals and declare victory, but completely fail in every reasonable metric that matters. Which I guess is an approach you make when you are selling agents by the token, but I don't see why anyone else is enamored with this approach.