You're heavily implying that because it can do this task, it can do any task at this difficulty or lower. Wrong. This thing isn't a human at the level of writing a compiler, and shouldn't be compared to one
Codex frustratingly failed at refactoring my tests for me the other day, despite me trying many, many prompts of increasing specificity. A task a junior could've done
Am I saying "haha it couldn't do a junior level task so therefor anything harder is out of reach?" No, of course not. Again, it's not a human. The comparison is irrelevant
Calculators are superhuman at arithmetic. Not much else, though. I predict this will be superhuman at some tasks (already is) and we'll be better at others
Adopt this half baked, half broken, insanely expensive, planet destroying, IP infringing tech, you have no choice.
Burn everything, because if you don’t, you will get left behind and, maybe, just maybe, in 2 years when it’s good enough, maybe… after hoovering up all the money, IP and domain expertise for free, and you’ve burnt all your money & sanity prompting and cajoling it to a semi working solution for a problem you didn’t really have in the first place, it will dump you at the back of the unemployment line. All hail the AI! Crazy times.
In the meantime please enjoy targeted scams, ever increasing energy prices, AI content farms, hardware shortages, and endless, endless slop.
When humans architect anything - ideas, buildings, software or ice cream sundaes, we make so many little decisions that affect the overall outcome, we don’t even know or think about it! Too many sprinkles and sauce and it will be too sweet and hard to eat. We make those decisions based on both experience and imagination. Watch a small child making one to see the perfect human intersection of these two things at play. The LLM totally lacks the imagination part, except in the worst possible ways. It’s experience includes all sorts of random internet garbage that can sound highly convincing even to domain experts. Now it’s training set is being further expanded with endless mountains of more highly impressive sounding garbage.
It was obvious to me with the first image gen models how incredibly impressive it was to see an image gradually forming from the computer based on nothing but my brief text input but also how painfully limited the technology would always be. After days and days of early obsessive image generation, I was no better as an artist than when I began! Everything also kind of looked the same as well?
As incredible as it was, it was nothing more than a massively complicated, highly advanced parlour trick. A futuristic, highly powerful pattern generator. Nothing has changed my mind at all. All that’s happened is we’ve seen the worst tricksters, shysters and con artists jump on a very dangerous bandwagon to hell and try and whip us less compliant souls onboard.
Lots of things follow patterns, the joy in life, for me, is discovering the patterns, exploring them and developing new unique and interesting patterns.
I’ve yet to encounter a bandwagon worth joining anyway, maybe this will be the one that leaves me behind and i’ll be forced to retire on cartoon gorilla NFTs and tulip farming?