Sure then make your prediction? It’s always easy to hand wave and dismiss other people’s predictions. But make yours: what do you think llms can do in 2 years?
Something that looks and sounds impressive but in the end not of much substance.
This will be true for next 2 years, 4 years, next decade, few decades. Until the state of the art ML paradigm remains language models.
You're asking me to do the thing I just said was frustrating haha. I have no idea. It's a new technology and we have nothing to draw from to make predictions. But for the sake of fun..
New code generation / modification I think we're hitting a point of diminishing returns and they're not going to improve much here
The limitation is fundamentally that they can only be as good as the detail in the specs given, or the test harnesses provided to them. Any detail left out they're going to make up, and hopefully it's what you want (often it's not!). If you make the specs detailed enough so that there's no misunderstanding possible: you've just written code, what we already do today
Code optimization I think they'll get quite a bit better. If you give them GCC it's probable they'll be able to improve upon it