So far it has been accurate though. Models have gotten much better than even the most optimistic predictions.
... Eh? A few years back, the usual suspects were predicting AGI by, usually, either 2026 or 2027. Think that's gonna happen?
(Such predictions have been quietly forgotten or revised forward, in general.)
No? The most optimistic predictions involved AGI around the corner, 6 months until no more developers for years now.