alt Hacker NewsInteresting analogy, but I'd say it's kind of the opposite. In the two you mentioned, the cost of inaction is extremely high, so they reach one conclusion, whereas here the argument is that the cost of inaction is pretty low, and reaches the opposite conclusion.
Indeed, another key difference with the climate change wager is that both the action and the consequences are global, whereas the OG wager and the AI wager are both about personal choice.