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n_utoday at 2:28 AM1 replyview on HN

Original paper https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w34836/w348...

Figure A6 on page 45: Current and expected AI adoption by industry

Figure A11 on page 51: Realised and expected impacts of AI on employment by industry

Figure A12 on page 52: Realised and expected impacts of AI on productivity by industry

These seem to roughly line up with my expectations that the more customer facing or physical product your industry is, the lower the usage and impact of AI. (construction, retail)

A little bit surprising is "Accom & Food" being 4th highest for productivity impact in A12. I wonder how they are using it.


Replies

CSSertoday at 11:37 AM

Figure right after A6 is pretty striking. Ask people if they expect to use AI and a vast majority say yes. Ask if they expect to use AI for specific applications and no more than a third say yes in any industry. That should be telling imo. What we have is a tool that looks impressive to any non-SME for a lot of applications. I would caution against the idea that benefits are obvious.