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maxbondtoday at 7:42 AM4 repliesview on HN

Well he certainly wouldn't but the engineers working for Tesla might, with a probability that is very low but greater than 0. It's much higher (but still low) in 1 year, 5 years, 10 years. Tomorrow is a metanym for the future.

But to be very clear I not only don't think they will but I don't think that they think they will, or they wouldn't be shifting focus to Optimus. I'm not invested in Tesla except for my exposure through index funds.

If anyone who is a fan of Tesla can get through this article without changing their mind. Well. Bless their heart.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2025/08/29/tesla-a...

https://archive.ph/K4ckR

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45062614


Replies

Zigurdtoday at 1:54 PM

To be maximally reductive, FSD will never work because the sensor suite is deficient. There are other reasons but that one's enough.

Same for a rocket that's ridiculously large for orbital missions but can't go beyond orbit without 15 to 25 refueling flights of the same enormous rocket.

The reasons for both these failing are going to be manyfold and complex, but there are enough simple reasons that everyone should understand.

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dudefelicianotoday at 8:30 AM

> with a probability that is very low but greater than 0.

And it is insane that this warrants a 1.5 trillion USD valuation - for vaporware.

throw310822today at 9:32 AM

The question of whether they will solve FSD is not very relevant if everyone ends up solving it roughly at the same time.

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alsetmusictoday at 1:48 PM

> metanym

I appreciate when my vocabulary expands. I understood this by context and similarity to 'synonym'. I may have encountered it before (probably), but I didn't know it. Excellent use in a post.

Expands my horizons a bit. Hat tip.