Many people are using AI as a slot machine, rerolling repeatedly until they get the result they want..

Once the tools help the AI to get feedback on what its first attempt got right and wrong, then we will see the benefits.

And the models people use en masse - eg. free tier ChatGPT - need to get to some threshold of capability where they’re able to do really well on the tasks they don’t do well enough on today.

There’s a tipping point there where models don’t create more work after they’re used for a task, but we aren’t there yet.