Who are these "experts" and what did they actually say? I feel like whenever I see these arguments its somebody making a straw man.

Although I mean trivially a non-rebated tax will cause inflation because it increases prices ... and recessions are called by NBER after you leave one so a year is way to little time.

Planes have actually been falling out of the sky. I'm not sure its from Social Security cuts but I mean if your stance is "planes falling out of sky = issue with social security cuts" then uh your evidence is in [1].

[1]: https://apnews.com/article/ups-louisville-plane-crash-ntsb-e...